Table 5

Multivariable Cox regression analysis models demonstrating mortality prediction determined by change in various visual CT variables (measured with 5-point ordinal scores) in the combined idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis population (n=211)

Categorical change in visual CT variablesVisual CT variable
(HR, 95% CI, P value, Concordance Index)
FVC decline
(HR, 95% CI, P value)
Total ILD extent1.53, 1.19 to 1.97, 0.004, 0.680.55, 0.30 to 1.01, 0.053
Ground-glass opacity extent1.49, 1.15 to 1.93, 0.01, 0.680.47, 0.27 to 0.82, 0.008
Reticular pattern extent1.41, 1.07 to 1.86, 0.07, 0.680.53, 0.29 to 0.97, 0.04
Honeycombing extent1.66, 1.22 to 2.26, 0.006, 0.680.52, 0.28 to 0.94, 0.03
Traction Bronchiectasis severity1.95, 1.42 to 2.67, 0.0002, 0.690.52, 0.30 to 0.90, 0.02
  • P values shown are adjusted for multiple comparisons.

  • Each visual CT variable was analysed in a separate model adjusted for patient age, gender, baseline disease severity using the diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide, antifibrotic use (never/ever) and FVC decline calculated using mixed effects models.

  • FVC, forced vital capacity; ILD, interstitial lung disease.